Biography
Dr. Sam L. Savage is the Executive Director of ProbabilityManagement.org, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit devoted to standardizing the communication and calculation of uncertainty. The organization has received funding from Chevron, Kaiser Permanente, Highmark Health, Lockheed Martin, PG&E, and others. Harry Markowitz, Nobel Laureate in Economics, was a co-founding board member. Dr. Savage is the author of 'The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty' (Wiley, 2009/2012) and 'Chancification: Fixing the Flaw of Averages' (2022). He is the inventor of the Stochastic Information Packet (SIP), an auditable data array for conveying uncertainty. He is an Adjunct in Civil and Environmental Engineering at Stanford University. He began his career as a mathematician at General Motors Research Laboratory and taught at the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business for 15 years.
Areas of expertise
Risk Awareness Week history
Sam has delivered sessions at 7 editions of Risk Awareness Week. Open each archive page for the full programme that year, or visit the original conference site for the session replays.
- RAW 2025The Future of Risk Intelligence
- RAW 2024Don't lose your job to AI — supercharge your risk team
- RAW 2023Take More Risk
- RAW 2022The Psychology of Risk
- RAW 2021ESG & Climate Decisions
- RAW 2020Solidifying RM2
- RAW 2019The Foundation
Books & publications
The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty
2012 · Wiley
Chancification: How to Fix the Flaw of Averages
2022 · ProbabilityManagement.org · with Jeff Danziger and Douglas Hubbard
See Dr. Sam L. Savage at RAW 2026
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